#Gamestop #Wallstreetbets: Insurrection

As I pointed out in multiple tweets as the story entered the mainstream, it is an error to look upon the Gamestop / Wallstreetbets event as a purely financial matter.  Instead, the motivation of those driving up the share prices reflects something far greater.  The people investing today are driven by righteous anger, about generational …

Thoughts on imagined realities, fictional constructs & January 6th

In a previous blog post I made these assertions: A unique quality of humans is our ability to create imagined realities. Many things that are fundamental to society are fictional constructs. Therefore, humans were always ripe to be exploited by fake news. It is only the increased ability to propagate fake news and the end …

The election: What I got right & wrong

A post election round-up of what I got right and where I was wrong. It’s a follow-up to my earlier post on “Why Biden will win“. To summarise: while I got the outlines of the result and pathway to victory correct, I got aspects of the electorate dramatically wrong. What I got wrong The Trump base The polls The …

Why Biden will win

Misunderstanding the reasons for an electoral victory is something that plagues both campaigns and the media. Too often, the victory is attributed to the wrong or overly complex reasons. This surface level analysis is deliberately designed to contrast with the hot-takes that will inevitably follow in the aftermath of the election result. The primary reasons …

Biden, Trump & framing the issues

In a series of tweets, I drew attention to a tactical mistake that Biden made in his response to BLM protests, especially over those in Kenosha. The key points are: “Law & Order” is safe Republican/Conservative territory Biden is adopting Trump’s framing of a nation at war with itself, which makes an authoritarian & conservative …

Political Machines & unscaling

The political “machine” is one of the most mythological forces in elective campaigns. They were influential for generations in cities whose mayors and leaders handed out jobs and contracts through patronage that enforced partisan outcomes…But those big-city machines lost much of their mojo in the last decade as politics flattened and a band of new …

Jamaal Bowman & the Political Disruption Model

Bowman’s primary contest for NY-16 provides another opportunity to test the disruption model. There have been two recent events that have brought this race into prominence, with Bowman securing AOC’s endorsement and his opponent having a disastrous hot mic moment. Bowman has also benefited from a progressive opponent dropping out to endorse him. In terms …

“Forensic” and “Plans”: signifier words

When used about two centrist figures, these words infuriate many on the left. “Forensic” is used ad nauseam to describe Keir Starmer’s interactions with the government and “plans” was a key part of Elizabeth Warren’s brand. The deployment of these words is an interesting and easily understood example of an important communications concept. We can …

Starmer’s comms strategy

Despite criticism for being soft, it was clear that Keir Starmer had a methodical communications plan for engaging with the Tory government’s failures in tackling COVID-19. I outlined his approach in a series of tweets and this was proved correct. It’s been possible to see Starmer’s structured approach unfurl in real time. He initially appeared …

The right, adaption & the primary contradictions

Before (perhaps instead) of completing what was supposed to be a two-post commentary on the result of the general election in the UK, I felt it important to elaborate on something I mentioned in the first post. Having finally got around to reading Stuart Hall’s “The Great Moving Right Show”, I was struck by how …